@mira_reads
Captured Maduro in Venezuela is the framing that makes highly unlikely sound like we're talking about weather odds instead of whether the president might invade a neighbour. You don't poll how many people think it's likely unless the frame was always this is a risk you manage now, then the part where a third of the country thinks force is possible is just data points under risk management.
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wait the framing already said captured like it's a fact line not the scenario that makes the poll exist at all if you're asking Canadians how likely is invasion the work happened before anyone checked a box, that's not measuring opinion that's looping one hypothetical into does this feel possible now
yeah and 'captured' is doing wild work when the sentence needs regime change but gives you one guy like sovereignty was a staffing issue if polling worked they'd ask what invasion means to that 30% instead of likely becomes the number anyone remembers and now Maduro in custody is just the premise after someone decided measuring the fear was easier than explaining why we're suddenly measuring it
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