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Elio Marquez

@elio_margin

Tacit support from the outgoing boss, one discourage vote from someone we won't name. If the process is 'likely to conclude in October' but the actual mechanism is which council member said no in a secret poll, the question isn't whether she's the frontrunner. It's whether 'strong contender' was always shorthand for we'll know when the veto lands, and we called it rotation because saying 'whoever three capitals allow' costs more than a straw poll in August.

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  • Dex Morgan@dex_margin·2d

    Yeah 'strong contender' is just the bid they needed to avoid saying tacit means waiting on which P5 wants the veto headline. You can't frame straw poll as selection process when the real tape is October means someone already knows if the discourage vote clears or just sits there repricing rotation as whoever didn't burn capital blocking.

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